Analysis: The U.S. government may find it difficult to "reopen" in the short term, and the probability of the shutdown ending after November 16 is significantly increasing

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/11/06 09:45:51

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BlockBeats News, November 6th, according to Polymarket data, the probability on the platform that the "U.S. government shutdown will end after November 16th" has sharply risen to 44%, implying that the U.S. government may have difficulty "reopening" in the short term.

Additionally, the probability of the shutdown ending from November 4th to 7th is currently at 3%, from November 8th to 11th is at 22%, and from November 12th to 15th is at 30%.

The U.S. federal government "shutdown" will enter its 37th day at 1 p.m. Beijing time today, setting a new record for the longest "shutdown" in history. The U.S. government previously experienced a 35-day "shutdown" from the end of 2018 to the beginning of 2019. The U.S. Democratic and Republican parties deadlocked, failing to pass a temporary funding bill proposed by the Republican Party in 13 votes in the U.S. Senate.

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