CITIC Securities: Trump plays the good cop, Benson plays the bad cop; the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in July is low

By: odaily.com|2025/07/21 08:51:46
0
Share
copy

Odaily News According to a research report by CITIC Securities, on July 14, local time, US President Trump said that his speech in an interview shocked the market, and US Treasury Secretary Bensonts interview calmed the market. We believe that Trumps good cop disturbing the market + Bensonts good cop calming the market is the open card routine of TACO trading in the news-driven market led by Trump. On issues such as Section 899, US-Japan tariff negotiations, and the dismissal of Powell, Trumps remarks have brought negative impacts to the market. Since then, Bensont has made relevant statements and actions that are beneficial to the market: he called on the US Congress to delete Section 899 from OBBBA, remained optimistic about reaching a US-Japan tariff agreement before August 1, and persuaded Trump not to dismiss Powell. Bensont played the role of the Trump administrations market mouthpiece. When facing the sudden bad news from the good cop Trump, it is necessary to pay attention to the good cop Bensonts views on related events. His remarks may be the triggering moment of TACO trading.
Important employment indicators in the United States include new non-agricultural employment, unemployment rate, number of people applying for unemployment benefits, number of job vacancies, etc. Judging from the multi-dimensional data of US employment, the current US job market is still resilient. Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States has increased, and the employment diffusion index of all private sectors in the United States for one month is in a contraction range, key indicators such as new non-agricultural employment and unemployment rate show the resilience of US employment. The stabilization of more data supports the decision of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates after observation. The Federal Reserve does not need to rush to cut interest rates, and the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in July is low. (Jinshi)

You may also like

WEEX AI Trading Hackathon 2026: How Top AI Strategies Dominated Real Markets

WEEX AI Trading Hackathon demonstrates that effective trading — whether powered by AI or human judgment — relies on core principles: understanding market structure, maintaining conviction, prioritizing quality over quantity, and managing risk intelligently.

WEEX Ai Trading Hackathon vs. Other AI Trading Competitions: Which Is Better for You?

The AI trading competition landscape offers distinct paths for growth. The WEEX AI Trading Hackathon differentiates itself through its focus on real-market execution and practical viability, positioning it as a key platform for aspiring quantitative traders and strategists.

Is AI Trading Replacing Humans? WEEX Hackathon Reveals the Future of Fintech

The WEEX AI Trading Hackathon reveals that the future of trading is not about AI replacing humans, but about collaboration. AI enhances trading capabilities, while human judgment, ethics, and strategic oversight remain essential.

Key Market Information Discrepancy on February 9th - A Must-See! | Alpha Morning Report

1. Top News: This Week's White House Crypto Meeting Focuses on Stablecoin Yield, Banking Reps to Attend for First Time 2. Token Unlock: $MOVE

"2.5 Dip" Real Reason: Wall Street Deleveraging Induced Overreaction

Bitcoin has now intricately woven itself into the financial capital markets in a very complex manner, and when cornered towards the opposite direction, the upward move will be more vertical than ever before.

Kyle's review of Hyperliquid sparks controversy, Solitude Bank officially opens, what are the overseas crypto communities talking about today?

What Was Top of Mind for Foreigners in the Last 24 Hours?

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more