Crypto Traders Turn Cautious: Embracing Bitcoin Over Risky Altcoin Investments

By: crypto insight|2025/12/10 15:30:08
0
Share
copy

Key Takeaways:

  • Following a significant liquidation event, Bitcoin rebounded to $92,000, drawing cautious optimism among traders.
  • Investors prefer Bitcoin and Ethereum exposure while avoiding altcoin risk amidst Federal Reserve uncertainty.
  • High volatility and central bank decisions continue to influence market sentiment.
  • Institutional flows highlight a shift as ETF inflows turned negative, affecting Bitcoin’s price action.

WEEX Crypto News, 10 December 2025

The cryptocurrency market, never short on drama and volatility, recently faced another intense bout of turbulence, leaving traders and investors reassessing their strategies. In the aftermath of a severe $2 billion liquidation event, Bitcoin has clawed its way back to approximately $92,000. Yet, this recovery is marked by a pervasive sense of caution among market participants, who are increasingly leaning towards more stable investments and hedging against potential risks associated with altcoins amid broader economic uncertainties.

A Return to Safe Harbors: Bitcoin and Ethereum Take Center Stage

As market volatility surges, the gravitational pull towards Bitcoin and Ethereum has intensified, overshadowing the once-popular allure of high-risk altcoins. A significant factor driving this shift is the uncertainty stemming from potential Federal Reserve policies and macroeconomic conditions. These dynamics have spurred investors to adopt delta-neutral strategies, which prioritize minimizing risk through carefully balanced positions rather than bold bets on volatile altcoins.

According to market insights provided by Wintermute, an esteemed market making firm, the focus has tightened significantly on well-established cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The strategies being employed reflect a preference for positions less vulnerable to abrupt market shifts, as traders await clarity on future interest rate decisions from major economic power players such as the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.

Navigating Through Market Turbulence: Institutional Adjustments

Institutional investments, often seen as a bellwether for market sentiment, have mirrored this cautious stance. A notable reversal in exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows has emerged as a substantial headwind for Bitcoin. Once showing a monthly inflow of $134.2 million, ETFs have swung to a $707.3 million outflow. This shift underscores a mix of profit-taking and diminished institutional appetite for maintaining elevated positions in the wake of Bitcoin’s volatile swings.

Market observers suggest these large withdrawals are contributing to muted price actions. Arthur Azizov of B2 Ventures highlighted the impact of consistent outflows, which have seen over $2.7 billion pulled from BTC products in the last five weeks. As Azizov points out, “When such a row of withdrawals persists, the whole market becomes quieter and gets less support.”

Conversely, some key players continue to show confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. MicroStrategy, a publicly traded company known for its aggressive Bitcoin accumulations, has increased its holdings, recently acquiring 10,624 BTC for $962.7 million. Such strategic moves suggest an ongoing belief in Bitcoin’s potential, underlined by CEO Michael Saylor’s assertive emphasis on the cryptocurrency’s value as a primary treasury reserve asset.

Strategic Shifts: Yield Capture Over Directional Altcoin Risks

Despite Bitcoin’s recent recovery, traders appear to favor strategies that emphasize consistent returns over speculative gains. Futures open interest has experienced a downturn to $30.6 billion, while perpetual funding rates have improved, marked by a rise in long-side payments to $522,700. This environment has contributed to heightened interest in delta-neutral strategies, particularly in environments where lower-cap assets present opportunities for carry trades without the exposure to directional risks associated with altcoins.

This inclines the trading community to adopt a more measured approach, seeking to balance potential profits with volatility management. According to Ignacio Aguirre, CMO of Bitget, the potential unwinding of yen carry trades presents another layer of complexity, with possible implications for crypto valuations as global markets recalibrate their positions.

Market Resilience: Learning from the Past to Navigate the Future

Despite the current challenges, the cryptocurrency market continues to demonstrate resilience. Intra-day volatility remains a core feature, seen recently as cascading liquidations briefly pushed Bitcoin’s price below $88,000. However, the market quickly stabilized, with Bitcoin’s 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbing from 38.6 to 58.2, and spot trading volumes increased to $11.1 billion, indicating robust buyer interest at these levels.

These figures suggest that while overall market conviction remains inconsistent across on-chain and derivatives metrics, there is an enduring foundation of investor interest ready to capitalize on favorable conditions. Options data supports this cautious optimism, with traders positioning for potential year-end price targets of either $85,000 or $100,000 by December 26.

Navigating Through Potential Market Influences

External economic factors, particularly concerning monetary policy, continue to shape investor sentiment and decision-making. As noted by financial experts, the anticipation of central bank moves, such as those by the Federal Reserve, plays a pivotal role in shaping market expectations and strategies. Year-end implied volatility remains elevated, requiring traders to navigate cautiously through economic currents, with attention firmly fixed on potential interest rate adjustments and their ramifications for asset valuations.

In this intricate market dance, only a significant surge above key psychological levels, such as the $100,000 mark, would profoundly alter the current narrative, possibly steering the market towards new bullish targets exceeding $120,000. However, the path forward, as articulated by informed industry figures, suggests alternative scenarios, where returns to the $82,000–$88,000 range might be necessary if market sentiment fails to consolidate positive momentum.

The cryptocurrency landscape remains an engaging domain of speculation, strategy, and opportunity. While the rapid oscillations can deter risk-averse participants, they also offer a compelling canvas for those with the foresight and fortitude to capitalize on dynamic market conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are delta-neutral strategies in cryptocurrency trading?

Delta-neutral strategies refer to a hedging technique used by traders and investors to reduce risk associated with price movements in an asset. By balancing positions in such a way that the total delta (sensitivity to price changes) is zero, traders can protect themselves against significant price fluctuations, relying instead on earning from the “carry” or yield of the positions without directional risk exposure.

How do central bank policies influence cryptocurrency markets?

Central bank policies, particularly around interest rates and monetary supply, significantly influence risk sentiment and investment strategies across financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. When central banks adjust interest rates, it can affect fiat currency values, which in turn influences crypto valuations and the level of risk investors are willing to take. Anticipation of changes can lead to increased market volatility as traders adjust their positions in response.

What does a high 14-day RSI indicate for Bitcoin?

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and change of price movements, typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. A rising RSI for Bitcoin, such as from 38.6 to 58.2, can indicate growing momentum and potentially signal an uptrend in short-term price action. However, an RSI above 70 might suggest that the asset is overbought, while below 30 can indicate it is oversold.

Why are institutional flows significant in crypto markets?

Institutional flows, which encompass investments from large-scale entities such as hedge funds, family offices, and financial institutions, can significantly affect crypto markets. Their decisions often reflect broader confidence in the asset class and can drive substantial price movements due to the scale of their investments. Large inflows or outflows are viewed as indicators of underlying market sentiment and can influence market dynamics accordingly.

What impact has MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy had?

MicroStrategy’s consistent acquisition of Bitcoin has reinforced its role as a significant institutional player within the crypto space. By purchasing large quantities of Bitcoin, it not only bolsters market confidence in the asset but also sets a precedent for other corporations to consider Bitcoin as a viable treasury reserve. Their strategic accumulation has often aligned with long-term bullish sentiment, providing a tangible example of corporate adoption at scale.

You may also like

Token Cannot Compound, Where Is the Real Investment Opportunity?

The next chapter in the crypto industry will undoubtedly be written by Crypto-empowered Stocks.

February 6th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

1. On-chain Flows: $508.2M USD inflow to Ethereum today; $390.8M USD outflow from Arbitrum 2. Biggest Gainers/Losers: $HBTC, $AIO 3. Top News: Current Bitcoin weekly RSI oversold signal comparable to June 2022

China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


Former Partner's Perspective on Multicoin: Kyle's Exit, But the Game He Left Behind Just Getting Started

Kyle knew his game, so he decided to focus on playing the game he was good at and interested in.

Why Bitcoin Is Falling Now: The Real Reasons Behind BTC's Crash & WEEX's Smart Profit Playbook

Bitcoin's ongoing crash explained: Discover the 5 hidden triggers behind BTC's plunge & how WEEX's Auto Earn and Trade to Earn strategies help traders profit from crypto market volatility.

Wall Street's Hottest Trades See Exodus

This time there is no single triggering factor, but rather market anxiety about asset valuation, with many already skeptical of these valuations being too high, leading to investors choosing to retreat almost simultaneously.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more