Wintermute: Despite the continued favorable macro environment, the crypto market has performed very poorly, and the "four-year cycle" theory is no longer applicable.
BlockBeats News, November 4th, Cryptocurrency market maker Wintermute released a long article stating that the current macro environment is still positive: rate cuts, the end of quantitative tightening (QT), the stock market nearing its peak, but cryptocurrency is still lagging behind, and post-FOMC meeting fund flows are retracting.
Global liquidity is expanding, but capital is not flowing into the crypto space. ETF fund inflows are stagnant, and Tokenized Asset Trading (TAT) activity is drying up, with only stablecoins continuing to grow. The overall market structure is healthy—leverage has been cleaned up, positions are clean, but to usher in a new round of gains, the return of funds to ETFs or TAT will be a key signal.
The current issue is not "lack of liquidity" but "liquidity going elsewhere." Global liquidity is indeed expanding. Central banks around the world are cutting rates amid a strong economic backdrop, a rare scenario that usually heralds a strong risk appetite cycle about to unfold. However, this new liquidity has not flowed into the crypto market as it did in the past. ETF funds are stagnant, TAT activity is drying up, overall liquidity is sufficient, but the share flowing into crypto has significantly decreased.
The "four-year cycle" theory no longer applies. The miner supply and halving logic that drove price cycles in the past have little influence in a mature market. What truly drives prices now is liquidity.
You may also like

Wall Street Shorts ETH: Vitalik is aware and has front-run, while Tom Lee remains oblivious

Social Capital CEO: How Equity Tokenization is Reshaping Capital Markets from US Stocks to SpaceX?

CoinGecko Report: Surge of 346% vs Dip of 20.8%, The Wild Rise of DEX

a16z: The Real Opportunity of Stablecoins Lies Not in Disruption but in Filling Gaps

Mining Exodus: Someone Holds $12.8 Billion AI Order

March 6 Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

a16z: The True Opportunity of Stablecoins is in Complementing, Not Disrupting
Predict LALIGA Matches, Shoot Daily & Win BTC, USDT and WXT on WEEX
The WEEX × LALIGA campaign brought together football excitement and crypto participation through a dynamic interactive experience. During the event, users predicted matches, completed trading tasks, and took daily shots to compete for rewards including BTC, USDT, WXT, and exclusive prizes.

Ray Dalio Dialogue: Why I'm Betting on Gold and Not Bitcoin

Who Took the Money in the AI Era? A Must-See Investment Checklist for HALO Asset Trading

Wall Street Bears Target Ethereum: Vitalik In the Know Takes Flight, Tom Lee Remains Bullish

Pump.fun Hacker Steals $2 Million, Receives 6-Year Prison Sentence, Opts for 'Self-Detonation'

6% Annual Percentage Yield as Musk Declares War on Traditional Banks

36 years, 4 wars, 1 script: How does capital price the world in conflict?

Mining Companies' Great Migration: Some Have Already Secured $12.8 Billion in AI Orders

What Is Vibe Coding? How AI Is Changing Web3 & Crypto Development
What is vibe coding? Learn how AI coding tools are lowering the barrier to Web3 development and enabling anyone to build crypto applications.

The parent company of the New York Stock Exchange strategically invests in OKX: The intentions behind the $25 billion valuation

WEEX P2P update: Country/region restrictions for ad posting
To improve ad security and matching accuracy, WEEX P2P now allows advertisers to restrict who can trade with their ads based on country or region. Advertisers can select preferred counterparty locations for a safer, smoother trading experience.
I. Overview
When publishing P2P ads, advertisers can now set the following:
Allow only counterparties from selected countries or regions to trade with your ads.
With this feature, you can:
Target specific user groups more precisely.Reduce cross-region trading risks.Improve order matching quality.
II. Applicable scenarios
The following are some common scenarios:
Restrict payment methods: Limit orders to users in your country using supported local banks or wallets.Risk control: Avoid trading with users from high-risk regions.Operational strategy: Tailor ads to specific markets.
III. How to get started
On the ad posting page, find "Trading requirements":
Select "Trade with users from selected countries or regions only".Then select the countries or regions to add to the allowlist.Use the search box to quickly find a country or region.Once your settings are complete, submit the ad to apply the restrictions.
When an advertiser enables the "Country/Region Restriction" feature, users who do not meet the criteria will be blocked when placing an order and will see the following prompt:
If you encounter this issue when placing an order as a regular user, try the following solutions.
Choose another ad: Select ads that do not restrict your country/region, or ads that allow users from your location.Show local ads only: Prioritize ads available in the same country as your identity verification.
IV. Benefits
Compared with ads without country/region restrictions, this feature provides the following improvements.
Aspect
Improvement
Trading security
Reduces abnormal orders and fraud risk
Conversion efficiency
Matches ads with more relevant users
Order completion rate
Reduces failures caused by incompatible payment methods
V. FAQ
Q1: Why are some users not able to place orders on my ad?
A1: Their country or region may not be included in your allowlist.
Q2: Can I select multiple countries or regions when setting the restriction?
A2: Yes, multiple selections are supported.
Q3: Can I edit my published ads?
A3: Yes. You can edit your ad in the "My Ads" list. Changes will take effect immediately after saving.